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Leverage alone cannot carry the industry through another cycle, and platforms that build sustainable revenue from actual usage will be the ones still standing when conditions tighten and the cheap capital that funded experimentation disappears

Crypto cannot survive another cycle on leverage alone. Trading volume financed by borrowed money inflates revenue during expansions and evaporates during contractions...

Leverage alone cannot carry the industry through another cycle, and platforms that build sustainable revenue from actual usage will be the ones still standing when conditions tighten and the cheap capital that funded experimentation disappears
Filed 2026-11-05Markets desk

Crypto cannot survive another cycle on leverage alone. Trading volume financed by borrowed money inflates revenue during expansions and evaporates during contractions. Platforms that depend on it report impressive numbers that reverse quickly. Sustainable businesses earn fees from usage that persists in any weather. Fee income from trading spikes looks impressive in a bull market and disappears with the same speed.

The distinction matters for users as much as for investors. A venue funded by speculative flow tends to cut services, raise spreads or restrict withdrawals when conditions change. A venue with diversified revenue can afford to keep operating normally. Reliability is a product of business model as much as engineering. Custody and settlement services grow slowly because each new client requires legal work and operational testing.

Building that base requires patience. Payments, custody, settlement and data services grow slowly but compound. None of them produce the headlines that trading booms generate. They do produce the cash flow that keeps a company alive when the headlines stop. Companies that survive downturns enter them with cash reserves and a product mix independent of sentiment.